fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts

Tuesday night was a test for some big names in the Republican Party in Wyoming and Alaska. They also consider whether the ensuing confirmation process will impact the countrys broader political environment in a Midterm election year. They also take a look at the endorsements former President Trump has made in 2022 congressional primaries and discuss why worries about inflation can be so politically potent. Tester faces a tough bid, but don't sleep on Brown being the weaker of the two. The Supreme Court heard oral arguments on Wednesday in one of the highest profile cases of the term. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew discusses the factors that went into Republican Glenn Youngkin winning the Virginia governor's race. In this installment, Jennifer Merolla, a Professor of Political Science at UC Riverside, and Hannah Hartig, a research associate at Pew Research Center reflect on the political climate in the immediate aftermath of 9/11 and whether a similar American consensus is possible today. The crew discusses how debates on both the debt ceiling and the future of Rep. George Santoss career might unfold. The crew follows up on last weeks Republican 2024 primary draft with its first Democratic primary draft. 2023 ABC News Internet Ventures. Digital Expert Zone; Our Services; About Us; Get In Touch; Shop; dyckman shooting 2021. fairfield, ct concerts on the green 2021 0. FiveThirtyEight Politics on Apple Podcasts 200 episodes FiveThirtyEight Politics ABC News News 4.5 19.2K Ratings FEB 21, 2023 What We Know About Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection What We Know About Kyrsten Sinema's Odds Of Reelection It's a busy week! In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what to make of the divergence between the conventional wisdom that Republicans will do very well in the midterms and polling showing Democrats leading in numerous competitive Senate races. Galen and Nate discuss the reasons for Republicans' improvement in the forecast. In the wake of the January 6th attack on the Capitol, academics and journalists have increasingly taken the possibility of future political violence in America seriously. The crew looks at public opinion on the war in Afghanistan and the Biden administration's decision to withdraw U.S. troops as the country now faces a Taliban takeover. As Emanuel Macron has occupied the middle of the political spectrum in France, with a focus on cooperation among European nations, the opposition parties have moved toward a nationalist, populist agenda. The FBI released nationwide crime numbers from 2020 this week that will likely contribute to the already tense political debate over crime and policing. The crew also discusses how Americans are responding to the administrations handling of the end of the war. They consider how much. Then the content will get automatically transcribed. The crew discusses how Liz Cheney and Madison Cawthorn's primaries serve as a test of what the Republican Party and its voters will and wont accept. Cuomo denied the allegations, but has faced overwhelming pressure to resign from fellow Democrats, including President Joe Biden. The Deluxe version of our model simulates the election 40,000 times to see which party wins the House most often. They also discuss shifting American views on foreign policy and the status of the infrastructure and budget bills currently being considered in the Senate. Raffensperger's new book is called Integrity Counts.". The crew recaps that race and other notable results from the June 14 primaries. We assess the state of American democracy, based on a new survey from Bright Line Watch, a group of political scientists that monitors threats to our democratic systems. Earlier this month, the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change (IPCC) released the first part of its Sixth Assessment Report on the state of climate change globally. Galen Druke discusses that question with pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson and writers Ramesh Ponnuru and Henry Olsen, who have all spent their careers in Republican politics and conservative thought. By doing so we are missing another important divide, one that may actually run counter to the idea that America is hopelessly conflicted between red and blue. The crew discusses the Senate passage of the Inflation Reduction Act, new polling on how Americans think about crime and gun violence, and how state-level debates over abortion bans are playing out. He is one of the ten House Republicans who voted to impeach President Trump after his supporters attacked the Capitol on Jan. 6. The crew discusses what's in the "Freedom to Vote: John R. Lewis Act" and why Senate Democrats have taken it up despite unmoving opposition. The crew looks at why it took 15 votes to get Rep. Kevin McCarthy elected House Speaker and what that process says about the two years ahead and the GOP more broadly. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? They also discuss why gas stoves became such a hot topic of debate on the internet and what the 2024 primary for U.S. Senate in California will look like. They also discuss how the country has changed demographically and geographically over the past decade, based on the newly released 2020 census data. The crew discusses the races to watch in 2023. According to a new poll from the Wall Street Journal, Hispanic voters are now split evenly between the Democratic and Republican parties, just one year after 60 percent voted for Democratic House candidates. It was a fiendishly clever and massively hyped invention. We also look at the future of inflation with economist Kenneth Rogoff. Democrat Melanie Stansbury won a special election in New Mexico's first congressional district by a 25-point margin last Tuesday, performing better than Democrats did in the district in 2020. The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, but its not the only one. The board of directors voted Friday to accept the resignation of David Held, effective June 1, and will then offer him the same job on . As of this writing, we still dont know which party will control the House or Senate, and we may not know come the morning. They consider how much preelection polling can tell us about the state of the country and what other sources we might rely on. Feb. 25, 2021. info. 01:06 PM. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. At the beginning of the millennium, about two-thirds of Americans opposed same-sex marriage, and a third supported it. Galen Druke is the host and producer of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast. The crew previews Californias primaries, which offer unique insight into the divides within the Democratic Party. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers across American markets and society on the whole. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. Happy holidays! Nate and Galen open the mailbag and answer listeners' questions about politics, polling and anything else on their minds. Millions of people were without power or heat, and in some cases water, in freezing cold temperatures for days because of severe blackouts. All. Transcript: Ezra Klein Interviews Ta-Nehisi Coates and Nikole Hannah-Jones July 30, 2021 Every Tuesday and Friday, Ezra Klein invites you into a conversation about something that matters, like. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. FiveThirtyEight - YouTube Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, sports, science and life. They also check in on the results from two recent primary elections in Ohio and announce the launch of FiveThirtyEights Redistricting Tracker. Politics Podcast: American Opinion Of China Has Plummeted, Politics Podcast: Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech, Politics Podcast: How Our 2022 Forecasts Actually Did, Politics Podcast: The Politics Of Loneliness, Politics Podcast: The Elections Happening In 2023. The crew looks at how some of the most competitive primaries in 2022 are shaping up. Tyler's intense research leads to stimulating and surprising . The majority of the coverage did not show signs of bias, such as articles on immigration, midterm elections and the Jan. 6 hearings. Given some of the caveats in the poll, the crew asks whether it's a good or bad use of polling. They also ask whether we should be skeptical of polls showing Democrats performing well in parts of the Midwest where polls have repeatedly underestimated Republicans. The crew discusses what these results mean for the midterms this fall and where other indicators of the political environment are pointing. Galen and Nate react to former President Trump's entrance into the 2024 presidential race and debate he stands in a possible matchup against Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. robert kraft granddaughter. Edit your transcribed text. If Europe, and of the shop leave us a rating or review in the Apple podcast store when you rating. Preview of Spotify. Thirty-six governors seats are up for election this fall and the crew looks at some where full control of state government might be decided by the governors race. They also debate whether a poll asking Americans to choose what they think is the best decade of their lives is a good or bad use of polling. It's a busy week! Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. In the first "Model Talk" episode of the 2022 midterms cycle, Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the factors behind that forecast. From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. They also reflect on how British and American politics changed during the period when "Brexit" and "Trump" dominated the two countries news cycles and consider their lasting impact. The crew looks to the speeches from the past weekend's Conservative Political Action Conference for indications about where the Republican party is headed. Tia Mitchell, of the Atlanta Journal Constitution, joins the podcast to discuss what to expect from former President Trump's second impeachment trial. In this installment, the crew plays a game of midterm trivia and analyzes the press coverage surrounding the latest decline in life expectancy. Later, Monica Potts joins to discuss why voters sometimes contradict their partisan beliefs on ballot measures. They also mark two years since the U.S. shut down in response to the coronavirus pandemic, by using data to explore some of the ways American life has changed in that time. The podcast turns its focus abroad, to Canada and Germany, to see how other democracies' electoral systems work and what cleavages their politics are facing. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. A message from Martine. How did the polling averages and seat-gain projections compare with the actual results? Galen Druke talks to Nicole Hemmer about her new book, "Partisans: The Conservative Revolutionaries Who Remade American Politics in the 1990s.". Institutions are the rules of the game of our societies that direct our everyday lives in fundamental ways. OPEC+ announced its cutting oil production by 2 million barrels a day, President Biden is talking about the threat of nuclear Armageddon and shoes keep dropping in the Georgia Senate race. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. In this installment, the crew discusses how any potential changes could reshape the nominating process. The crew discusses what the political environment is likely to look like in 2022 based on history and current indicators. On the Conversations with Tyler podcast, produced by the Mercatus Center at George Mason University, celebrated polymath and academic economist Tyler Cowen explores the minds and methods of today's top thinkers. And they try to guess what Americans think about love and relationships in a Valentine's Day-themed game. Rev also gives transcribers the autonomy to work for as much or little as they want. Overall, more moderate candidates were able to win against challengers from the Right and Left flank of both parties, although there was a sizable protest vote in some instances. 04:58 PM. The crew talks about the most notable data points and what it means for Democratic and Republican strategies going forward. 450 episodes. No products in the cart. We hear about the decade-long relationship between the two of them, one that dates back to the Kennedys arrival in Washington in the mid-50s, and hear fascinating observations these women make about each other. In this late-night installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke put their Model Talk hats on and discuss the initial results from the 2022 midterms.