ukraine vs russia war simulator ukraine vs russia war simulator

Putin, and those advisers who still have his ear, may have been convinced many Ukrainians would welcome them as liberators and the march to Kyiv would be an easy one. But as the conflict continues and Russian frustrations grow over their failure to rapidly collapse Ukrainian resistance, one can expect the Russians to revert to type and start employing their overwhelming superiority in artillery and airpower much more indiscriminately. Dr Heather Williams, nuclear expert at King's College London, told the BBC: Russia is heavily dependent on Chinese support, but China has a no first use nuclear doctrine. The simulation culminated with Chinese missile strikes raining down on U.S. bases and warships in the region, and a lightning air and amphibious assault on the island of Taiwan. Powered and implemented by FactSet Digital Solutions. In total, across Europe, Asia, and the US the simulation says a total of 90 million people would be killed within the first few hours of conflict and that number does not include deaths from nuclear fallout or other long-term . This is in contrast with nearly every expert and pundit on the airwaves, who are expressing astonishment at how this conflict is unfolding. The resulting immediate fatalities and casualties that would occur in each phase of the conflict are determined using data from NUKEMAP. He explained: If youre trying to deter an adversary, what you might do is reveal the fact that youve been simulating you fight them because that is part of your deterrence. In the north, a Ukrainian brigade conducted a spoiling attack against Russian forces across the border in Belarus. It uses extensive data sets of the nuclear weapons currently deployed, weapon yields, and possible targets for particular weapons, as well as the order of battle estimating which weapons go to which targets in which order in which phase of the war to show the evolution of the nuclear conflict from tactical, to strategic to city-targeting phases. Simulations can also shed light on difficult and emergent decisions, as well as surprising us as the future often can. The Ukrainian commander, in the wargame, decided to send three brigades from the city to counterattack into the flank of Russian armored forces. File photo - Infantrymen of the 3rd Battalion, 69th Armored Regiment, 1st Brigade, 3rd Infantry Division, fire M1A2 System Enhancement Package Version 2 vehicles on Tapa Army Base, Nov. 13, 2015. I'm a huge history/geography fan, so if you're interested in those things aswell, this channel may be perfect for you! A simulation, in contrast, is either a human or computer representation of a situation, where people (or software) make decisions to drive that situation to an end state. In the ensuing battle, both the 27th SMRB and the Ukrainian 92nd Mechanized Brigade were destroyed. Figure 5: Wargame Situation End of Game Day 3 Northern Front. Today's video presents a war simulation, which maps out a war between Russia and Ukraine. Feb 25, 2023 2:35 PM EST. was a computer rendering from a combat flight simulator originally uploaded by a YouTube user with just 3,000 . Putin was warned he could lose Chinese support if he goes nuclear. As artifacts, they can appear in the form of playable materials (i.e., games) or as descriptions of a simulation being run. In 2019, Harry J. Kazianis participated in an American simulation of a war between Russia and the U.S.-led North Atlantic Treaty Organization. ukraine in Experiences; ukraine vs russia war in Experiences; ukraine obby in Experiences; ukraine rp in Experiences; ukraine in People; ukraine in Avatar Shop; . These same concerns appear to be driving the Ukrainians in the real fight. More bad things happen, and a NATO move surprises everyone. This defaults to your Review Score Setting. This was a controversial move that achieved limited tactical results. Signing up for this newsletter means you agree to our data policy, comprehensiveguide to Russias war against Ukraine, convinced many Ukrainians would welcome them as liberators, blood and iron, in which Otto von Bismarck. "A crisis like the one we are currently facing often results in miscommunication between parties, exacerbated by the fact that there remain very few active lines of communication between Russia and the U.S./NATO," said Glaser, who is an associate professor at Princeton's School of Public and International Affairs and Department of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering. The selected countries for comparison, Russia and Ukraine, are displayed below in side-by-side format.The Primary selection is displayed in Blue while the Secondary selection is displayed in Red.Go back to compare two other military powers. President Trumps fiscal 2020 budget plan proposes $750 billion for defense, up 5 percent from fiscal 2019. The video shows footage from "Arma 3," a military-style video game. Kazianis is the director of defence studies at the Center for the National Interest, a think tank based in Washington DC. Once the Russian offensive began to roll there was a wide expectation of a rapid armored descent on Ukraines key cities Kyiv, Kharkiv, Dnipro, and Odessa. To the end of assessing the consequences of the Ukrainian conflict on the Russian economy, this paper distinguishes four different processes: the structural downturn of the Russian economy prior to the events in Ukraine ; the initial impact - i.e. Before NATO can impose its no-fly zone, Putin orders strikes on any remaining airfields and military assets around Lviv, Kazianis related. This may be where simulations and scenarios become useful. Read more about it in the, There are no more reviews that match the filters set above, Adjust the filters above to see other reviews. SGS developed a new simulation for a plausible escalating war between the United States and Russia using realistic nuclear force postures, targets and fatality estimates. You can unsubscribe at any time. Liked it? Prosecutors allege the Kansas men conspired to evade US export laws starting in 2020. On the third day of the wargame, the Russians launched a combined ground, air, and amphibious assault on the Ukrainian defenses around Kherson accelerated in execution due to the short time available to play the game. In the actual conflict, there are recent reports of Ukrainian units moving off these lines suffering large losses, as the wargame predicted. These Ukrainian forces were soon cut off as the Russian 41st Combined Arms Army attacked south into Ukraine on both sides of the Dnieper River at the same time. In the simulation, Ukraine does not give up so easily, just like in real life today. Image: Andrey Rudakov/Bloomberg. Simply use the dropdowns below to select your global powers. This exercise helps to ensure that NATOs nuclear deterrent remains safe, secure and effective.. Nine countries in the world possess nuclear weapons. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Many call themselves futurists Bryan actually knows how to do it. This realistic, facts-based simulation is divided into 3 stages: Nuclear War, Nuclear Fallout and Nuclear Winter. The GFP country comparison form is provided to allow you to make direct, side-by-side comparisons of any two world powers represented in the GFP database. Research organization RAND has run dozens of wargames simulating major conflict scenarios in what it describes as Russia and Chinas backyards. The wargames suggest that the U.S. forces in those locations would get attacked by a vast array of both conventional and cyber weapons. The Plan A simulation was originally prepared for an exhibition at Princeton's Bernstein Gallery in 2017 and was later made available to the public as a YouTube video in 2019. You can use this widget-maker to generate a bit of HTML that can be embedded in your website to easily allow customers to purchase this game on Steam. Primary initial targets in the wargame were Ukrainian S-300 systems around Kyiv, the Dnieper River bend, Kherson, and Odessa. While the game does make allowance for aspects of the human domain, it is hard to factor in things like the courageous leadership being demonstrated by Zelenskyy and its impact on the will of the fighting forces and the Ukrainian people. Theyre showing them that theyre taking that contingency seriously.. Next War: Poland photo by Jakub Kircun), Pingback: Looking Back and Looking Forward Are We Ready for This? 80% 0. As the Russia-Ukraine war enters its 373rd day, we take a look at the main developments. During the wargame, there was a lot of discussion about the employment of information weapons, including cyber. So, either the Russians are holding a number of zero-day exploits in reserve, or it is time to closely examine how dangerous cyber operations truly are. Crowd erupts in laughter at Russia's top diplomat after he claimed the Ukraine war 'was launched against us' An audience member shouted, "Come on!" . Join my discord server: https://discord.gg/A799aXy Support me on Patreon: https://www.patreon.c. apart from the sanctions - of the degradation of the situation in Ukraine . This game is fun, has some glitches but overall is a good rea. Yevgeny Prigozhin, head of the Russian mercenary group, says the city in Donetsk is almost completely surrounded. Also, this is my first video in a while without commentation. The immediate fatalities and casualties that would occur in each phase of the conflict are determined using data from NUKEMAP, an online tool that was developed by Alex Wellerstein at the Stevens Institute of Technology. Please check your browser settings to ensure that it is not blocking Facebook from running on straight.com. Moscow says Ukrainian saboteurs opened fire against civilians on Russian territory, a claim Kyiv denies. In the case of this particular wargame, its near concurrent use with the actual start of the war presents an opportunity to make constructive comparisons and contrasts. Russias military doctrine has a de-escalation policy: its response to a large-scale conventional attack would be met with a limited nuclear strike. In RANDs wargames and analysis, Russia, and particularlyChina, unleash so many missiles that they overcome U.S. defenses. Since current events gradually render these alternate histories, they may also serve as interesting historical notes. Putin announced what he called a special military operation in Ukraine on February 24. Patchy control. (U.S. Army photo by: Sgt Caitlyn Byrne, 10th Press Camp Headquarters). DON'T MISS:Vladimir Putin's 'emotional chaos' childhood laid bare[INSIGHT]Russia defied by Finland: 'Clearly a part of the West'[EXCLUSIVE]Putin wanted 'anti-EU' alliance with UK before Ukraine invasion[EXPERT]. Its total in 2021 was estimated to be $801bn, according to Statista. Putin also orders a massive cyber attack on the Baltic states military infrastructure, thinking that NATO will use the Baltics to stage an invasion of Russia. Set against this backdrop, U.S. military outposts and aircraft carriers in the contested regions could face a potential devastating barrage of missiles. Videos can span from fixing the borders to mapping out war scenarios. The Russian-led Valdai Club published an invasion story which looks pretty close to reality so far. Realizing that these forces were at high risk of envelopment and could not withstand an all-out assault by Russias 8thCombined Arms Army, the decision was made to withdraw to the Dnieper River, with the exception of the Ukrainian 92nd Mechanized Brigade plus parts of the 53rd and 54th Mechanized Brigades, which were sent to consolidate positions in and around Kharkiv. Mr Putin launched that attack after mass street protests in Ukraine that ousted pro-Russian . So if Putin did use them, it would be incredibly difficult for China to stand by him. Air Marshal Edward Stringer, former head of RAF intelligence, this week said a conflict involving the use of nuclear weapons will be weighing on the minds of those making difficult calculations at the moment. Watch this video to find out what will happ. Front-line Polish army units faced the loss of between 60 and 80 percent of their equipment. Let us know in the comments section here. Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. Ex-French soldier who witnessed the Bucha war crimes committed against civilians by the Armed Forces of Ukraine survives assassination attempt by Kiev, requests asylum in Russia "Those 87K armed IRS agents are needed to fight the black market which will spring up as soon as CBDC is introduced." ZH Comment Based on the wargames, a clash with Russia in the Baltic states would result in the rapid defeat of U.S. forces and their allies, Ochmanek told Fox News. The livestream of a videogame superimposed with a banner that reads "Breaking News" and "Russia vs Ukraine war start (sic)" has triggered confusion online. At present, the Russians appear to possess air superiority, but the reported 30+ sorties the Ukrainians are launching daily have denied the Russians the level of air dominance that they achieved in the wargame. At present, none of these cities have fallen, and the Russian ground offensive appears to be slowing, as it faces stiffening resistance and logistic challenges. The intent of these orders was to lure Russias 8th Combined Arms Army into expending vast amounts of resources hitting empty positions, as the Ukrainians would have already fallen back to the Dnieper River. All rights reserved. There have been dozens of wars in the almost 80 years since World War II ended. Its freely available to download and play. "In addition to the immediate death and suffering and economic and societal collapse, in the years following the war, the phenomenon of nuclear winter would exacerbate the catastrophe," he said, pointing to one study which found that more than five billion people could eventually die from a nuclear conflict between the United States and Russia. The chaos of the past week might be incorrectly comforting. It is predicted that over 90 million people would be dead or injured in a war between the United States and Russia, Princeton University researchers discovered. "It is estimated that there would be more than 90 million people dead and injured within the first few hours of the conflict," Glaser said. Russia obtained complete victory within five days. There were likely some residual survivors, but Ukraines ability to operate at the squadron level was neutralized. Its putting more combat power back into Europe, and putting it on Europes eastern flank, he said. We speak to six young Russians about the devastating conflict, which has entered a second year. On the other side of the ledger, Ukrainian forces have counterattacked and retaken Kherson. Josh Calder created another infographic, this time of what might result from the war. So, although the number of actual strikes made by the Russians in the conflicts first 24-hours tracked almost exactly to what was employed by the Russians in the wargame, the impact was substantially different. Russian ambassador to UK Andrey Kelin said the killing of civilians in Ukraines Bucha was staged by Ukrainian forces. International Atomic Energy Agency in 24/7 response mode after fire at site of Ukrainian nuclear power plant, Vladimir Putin puts Russian nuclear forces on high alert, Noam Chomsky calls on Justin Trudeau to sign January 22's UN Nuclear Ban Treaty, Georgia Straight guide to the 34th annual Dancing on the Edge festival, Education: Upgrade your skills for a dramatically new world. Next War: Poland simulates a Russian invasion of that nation. Russia must also now be considering next steps. The crucial early decision for Ukraine was what to do with the 17 to 20 battalions arrayed on the line of control in the Donbas area. The conflict followed fighting in Ukraine. That's not true. Moreover, Russias capacity to concentrate vast ground fires artillery, rockets, and missiles still allows the Russian army to overwhelm the Ukrainians at any chosen point. | Rob Reynolds. On this channel you can expect to see a large variety of mapping content! Both of these actions were, however, discussed by the players in the wargame. Before its weapon systems are destroyed, Russia fires missiles launched from silos, road-mobile vehicles, and submarines. More info. This is the first of all strategic questions and the most comprehensive. What Ukraine must figure out now is Russias likely next moves, as Putin concludes that his invasion is not going to be a modern day Anschluss. In 2019, Harry J. Kazianis participated in an American simulation of a war between Russia and the U.S.-led North Atlantic Treaty Organization. Click. Russia says the top diplomats spoke on the move at a G20 meeting in India but did not hold Ukraine negotiations. At least six Ukrainian battalions were overrun, and the remainder endured serious losses to aerial interdiction en route to the Dnieper. Nesterivka, Ukraine. "And if we arent careful," Kazianis wrote in a recent article, "what happened in a simulation could happen if aNATO-Russia warerupts over Ukraine.". In an ironic reversal of the situation during the Cold War, NATO is now the dominant conventional coalition in Europe, while Russia is a weak state with a large but less powerful army. Sign in to add this item to your wishlist, follow it, or mark it as ignored. As the Russia-Ukraine war enters its 374th day, we take a look at the main developments. Have an amazing day!Music I May Have Used In The VideoFredji - Happy Life The views expressed in this article are the authors own and do not express the views or positions of Marine Corps University, the U.S. Marine Corps, the Department of Defense, or any part of the U.S. government. Tamara Patton, Moritz Ktt, Alex Glaser, Alex Wellerstein, Bruce Blair, Sharon Weiner, Zia Mian, Jeff Snyder, Everyone Practices Cancel Culture | Opinion, Deplatforming Free Speech is Dangerous | Opinion. (thanks to Brian Tain for this post and for answering my question, as well as to Lennaert van Mierlo and the Association of Professional Futurists, especially Josh Calder and Stephen Aguilar-Milan, plus Viktor Motti. Three days later on February 27, the Russian leader put his countrys nuclear forces on high alert, saying NATO officials have made aggressive statements. Only in the south have we seen the Russians making the kind of rapid advances that were expected to take place throughout Ukraine. But, on the other hand, no one involved in this wargame has been much surprised by anything unfolding on the ground. March 1, 2023, 1:37 a.m. Sign in to see reasons why you may or may not like this based on your games, friends, and curators you follow. Likewise, Russia carried out its own strategic nuclear drills just a matter of days before invading Ukraine. While it is possible, of course, that a nuclear exchange remains "limited" and the other side backs off or responds with conventional weapons only, there would be huge pressure on decision-makers to "respond in kind" and deny the side to strike first any advantage. A NATO statement in October said: Steadfast Noon involves training flights with dual-capable fighter jets, as well as conventional jets, backed by surveillance and refuelling aircraft. At the time the game ended, this major ground fight all along the river in the vicinity of Kherson and along the shores of the Black Sea just to the south and west of Kherson was still developing. Much of the Ukrainian air force was destroyed on the ground as a result of Kalibr and Kh-101 cruise missile strikes, special operations-enabled targeting and direct action, and air strikes. An EU official also said China providing arms to Russia would be an absolute red line and lead to sanctions: Report. Gotta love @BryanAlexanders ability to catalyze a conversation without leaning on hyperbole or triggers. There are just two bridges on the southern sector of the Dnieper River which are key terrain. The ripple effects of Russia's war in Ukraine continue to change the world. New video: https://youtu.be/gtC8T_iernk [Afghanistan] Subscribe and turn on notifications to stay updated with new uploads!Military simulationFollow us:ht. Foreign ministers meeting is marred by disagreements as Russia and China reject joint statement calling for end to war. While the wargame did not simulate the strategic level of warfare, the international support garnered by Ukraines heroic resistance may, in the end, prove fatal to Russia achieving its aims. Much of this is what one would expect based on what we know about the Russian way of war. Legal Statement. Russia has more than 15,857 armored fighting . Russia and China have amassed large inventories of precision-guided cruise missiles and ballistic missiles that can reach hundreds of miles and strike military targets, the researcher said. Russia using claims about Ukrainian nuclear weapons to justify invasion, UK says. Fears remain that Moscow will launch a nuclear strike on Ukraine. In the game, moving away from the line of control proved difficult, as retreats under pressure always are. The alliance decides to set up a limited no-fly zone around the Ukrainian city of Lviv to protect innocent civilians and refugees that are trapped and have nowhere to go, Kazianis wrote. This stands in stark contrast to what Russia has achieved in its actual operations. In diverging from Western interpretations of the Russian way of war, the wargame closely mimicked what we mostly saw in the first few days of Russias actual military operations. I think this is at the small unit scale, but havent played it. According to Glaser, a global thermonuclear war on this scale could certainly be considered a "worst-case scenario", although the title of the video hints at the fact that the sequence of events shown is simply part of the standard playbook. In our games, where we fight China or Russia blue gets its a** handed to it, not to put too fine a point on it, he said, during a panel discussion. But it was almost the precise course of action the Russians undertook in the wargame. Going into the fifth day of the war, Ukraines air defenses are still functioning, even if at a reduced level of effectiveness. It must now be dawning upon senior commanders and possibly even Putin that they have grossly miscalculated, and are now in violation of Clausewitzs most important dictum: The first, the supreme, the most far reaching act of judgement that the statesman and a commander have to make is to establish the kind of war on which they are embarking; neither mistaking it for, nor trying to turn it into, something that is alien to its nature. Search is currently unavailable. Kramatorsk, Ukraine CNN . In the wargame, this constraint on fires was deliberate, based upon a strategy to compel a rapid Ukrainian surrender. Scary World War III wargames show U.S. forces crushed by Russia and China in certain hot spots around the globe. A former Royal Air Force chief has warned a nuclear war is no longer unthinkable as Russia continues to escalate its assault on Ukraine. In a wartime scenario, Russian and Belarusian forces . If Putin chooses to use a nuclear weapon, experts say he could end up being the master of his own demise. The images evoke scenes in Kyiv and Kharkiv as the Ukrainian cities face a growing Russian invasion. If you want to see more war simulations, let me know in the comments. Still, even if one accepts that the Russians are trying to limit Ukrainian casualties and infrastructure damage, it is difficult to ignore the fact the Russians have been slow off the mark. That Zelenskyy remains capable of talking to his commanders and the outside world is encouraging and clearly has provided a strategic level boost in the information war and in Ukrainian morale. Are there other scenarios or simulations for this topic which you recommend? But if Russia invades Ukraine in the coming days, it will be different from . How will the western sanction strategy impact Russia? Some of that force was moved north to the Belarussian border in case of a secondary Russian assault out of western Belarus, but most of it was ordered east to help defend Kyiv and to bolster the Dnieper defense. In the game the Russian advance out of the Crimea was their most rapid and successful operation. Another difference was in the impact of the Russian air and missile campaign. As the war continues, these people need our help and fast.Donate and Help: https://donate.unhcr.org/ Photos; Timeline; . The sound is by Jeff Snyder. Putin has, however, previously shown a willingness to defy even the most pessimistic of his critics, by invading Ukraine and allegedly using a nerve agent against a former KGB officer in Salisbury. Russian President Vladimir Putin placed his nuclear deterrent forces on special alert last month, something which UK Government ministers have dismissed as merely a distraction tactic from a war in Ukraine that is not going quite as planned. This is so well-structured and thoughtful that it almost made me forget I was terrified while reading it. The Ukrainian military and people are putting up much stouter resistance than Putin or any of his senior-most commanders anticipated. In the final stage of the conflict, both Russia and NATO target the 30 most populated cities and economic centers of the other sideusing 5-10 nuclear warheads on each depending on population sizein an attempt to inhibit the potential for recovery. Since then, the simulation has received more than a million views. When @BryanAlexander is futuring about you, youd better start futuring yer own dang self! To view reviews within a date range, please click and drag a selection on a graph above or click on a specific bar. Ill share some here in the hope they give us some ways of thinking about where the crisis may be headed. Ukraine's economy stabilizes after shock of war. Zoe Schneeweiss helpfully turned them into a single infographic: EDITED TO ADD: The Atlantic Council offers four scenarios for the wars ending. Ukraines ability to score some early wins and demonstrate incredible acts of courage from President Volodymyr Zelenskyy on down have generated an inspired defense, similar to Ukraines course in the wargame. In the wargame, every strike was focused on eliminating Ukraines air force and air defense network. The map above shows the prewar garrison positions of Ukraines land forces. Its aim is to highlight the "potentially catastrophic" consequences of a nuclear war between Russia and NATO. Battle of Bakhmut, Ukraine 2023. The Russians attacking out of the Crimea are already advancing on Mykolaiv, a distance of approximately 150 miles from their line of departure in Crimea. Josh Calder shared this infographic with me, developing a sequence of events for three different ways forward: diplomacy, irregular war, and a conventional attack. The meeting comes as the US annouced a new military aid including tactical bridges to move tanks and armoured vehicles. Russia-Ukraine War. The United States intends to replace its existing fleet of Minuteman III missiles which came into service in the early 1970s with a new . Based on a variety of wargame simulations, a clash with Russia in the Baltic states would result in the rapid defeat of U.S. forces and their allies. All rights reserved. The idea is that the threat of a nuclear strike would force any opponent, in this case NATO, to return to the status quo. ET, November 22, 2022 Ukraine expresses outrage after Hungarian prime minister's scarf shows western Ukraine as part of . In the wargame, the main Russian ground offensive was purposely delayed, as the Russian players focused on several days of shaping fires aimed at destroying critical enemy capabilities before committing the bulk of their ground forces. In one a Russian invasion of Ukraine develops into war with NATO, and Moscows forces are ultimately defeated. Russia vs Ukraine war google map simulation 2022.Please don't take this simulation seriously, it is only for entertainment purposes. A scenario is small story about a potential future. Russia was preparing to do precisely that when the wargame ended. We use your sign-up to provide content in ways you've consented to and to improve our understanding of you. North Korea, Iran and China forming nuclear 'axis' of horror, Russia humiliated as military helicopters destroyed in strike. The U.S. National Defense Strategy, which was released by the DoD last year, cites the restoration of Americas competitive edge by blocking global rivals Russia and China from challenging the U.S. and our allies, as one its key goals. Approximately 90 percent of all nuclear warheads are owned by Russia and the United States, who each have around 4,000 warheads in their military stockpiles; no other nuclear-armed state sees a need for more than a few hundred nuclear weapons for national security, the FAS notes. First, the amount of fires employed in the wargame was only a fraction of what the Russians had available. Mutual Fund and ETF data provided by Refinitiv Lipper. In second place was China with estimated . Mark Esper served as US Secretary of Defence from July 2019 until November 2020. Still, the impact of the wargames shaping fires was profound, as once the ground forces advanced, they had strong support from Russian airpower, now flying in uncontested skies. In 2020, Russia spent $61.7bn on its military which accounted for 11.4 percent of government spending. NATO carries out its own annual nuclear exercises, the most recent codenamed Steadfast Noon.