But even if you dont believe in that, the science is enough. Step 1. This is the probability of you being born at the time you were born to your particular parents, with your particular genetic make-up. Well surely reply you within 48 hours. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. The odds of you existing have been calculated by Dr. Ali Binazir. We use cookies to understand how you use our site and to improve your experience. One in 2,000. Again, it is similar to the probability of winning the Loto: while my chances of winning are very small, the probability of someone (or someones) winning are much higher. By that definition, I've just proven that you are a miracle. Not only are you and I contingent, we are highly improbable! He calculated that an average human could expect to experience such an occurrence once every 35 days. That is the reason the majority dislike games, lotto, and sports beting. If Borels Law is the immutable truth and the creationists are wrong, you cant exist. Yet here we are. Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million dollar lottery 9 times over your life again than you would have being born. If you assume the current population is 1% of the history of humanity, the total number of combinations increases to 1.1 x 10^39. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. Step 3. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. So whats the probability of your existing? The odds of being murdered are relatively low when compared to other possible causes of death. I was toying with this other idea, about an owl who falls in love with a cat and brings it mice every day. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. The question is, how long will it take for the fly to bring the entire moon back to the earth? The even better news is that the first one on Tue June 16, which is the Special Session on Joy, is free Continue reading "Brain Yoga: New Sessions" Gamblers always play the odds; their lives revolve around probabilities, and that has led many into dark places. Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. One of my brothers made his own calculation regarding one of Binazirs assumptions and came up with a figure that would make the probability of existence even smaller: My numbers are more simplistic, but assuming 100,000 eggs/woman & 12 trillion sperm/man creates 1.2 x 10^18 combinations for every man/woman pairing (i.e., significantly more combinations than the 400 trillion or 4 x 10^14 mentioned in the article). Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 102,685,000. So, thats 28,800 events a day, adding up to a million in 35 days. Click the image to enlarge it and check their numbers: Of course, there are poets who argue exactly the opposite: that each of us is fated to exist, that there is a plan, and that all of us are expected. Scientists have calculated the odds of a human being born as at least 1 in 400 trillion. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001." What it Took For You to Exist He looked at the amount of water in the oceans, compared to the size of a life-preserver. It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. The likelihood that improbable events occur is controlled by the scale of the Universe. Having said that, Monsignor Popes reflection should spur us to consider that while the Mind of God could think of a nearly infinite number of souls to create, he chose to create you and I. Part of HuffPost Wellness. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a farfetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists. In its Final Data report of U.S. deaths for 2010, the CDC reported assault (homicide) dropped off of the list of the 15 leading causes of death, becoming 16th, following pneumonitis due to solids and liquids.. But Im not mathy. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about 1 in 10. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 3.409108 square kilometers, or 340,900,000 km2 (131.6 million square miles, for those benighted souls who still cling to user-hostile British measures). The first single-cell organism emerging from an inanimate chemical soup is not something that could have happened by chance. The number of atoms in the known universe is estimated at 1080. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. Whoa. It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Lets not get carried away here; well just deal with the human lineage. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. (This is also known as "consulting" -- especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). Thats going to take a LONG time. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a far-fetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists., *Illustration of human profile and numbers via Shutterstock, You're one in 400 trillion, or pretty much a miracle. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. What it took to get us all here, in this time, together, seems too precious to let pass us by without open hearts. We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. The atheist and agnostics give the existence of God about the same odds. Which ones bigger? Awe and wonderment at merely being alive on even a bad or boring day makes perfect sense. Heres how the National Center for Science Education puts it: Any event with a probability greater than 0, no matter how low, will be likely to happen if given enough opportunity, and sure to happen if opportunity is unlimited., Michele Caballero Siamitras Kassube on Pixabay. Popes point: that we are not accidents, that God chose to create you and [me]. No need for caution about drawing any conclusion other that the one he quite explicitly drew. As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. You are, He Will Come Like a Thief to Take Back What Is His, Flee to the Truth When Tempted A Homily for the First Sunday of Lent, Ash Wednesday Breaks All the Rules of Modern Churchthink. There are only slightly more than 500 billionaires in America, making your odds of becoming one roughly one in 578,508. You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. Essentially, what Borel said was that any event with a honking big (a technical term used by mathematicians) level of improbability would never happen. dr ali binazir odds of being born jeffrey dahmer museum milwaukee Just starting from your parents, the chance of them meeting and creating you is astronomically slim. That is incredibly unlikely to the point of impossible. I would not exist if my parents had not existed and then met. 2023 The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers on this website. However, your existence presupposes another supremely unlikely chain of events. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. But when we take it back throughout all the unbroken generations of life, then to the formation of the earth, then the development of the galaxy, then the universe being created from the Big Bang, your odds have now been reduced to 1 in 10 followed by 2,685,000 zeroes. The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? 1/(100,000)(4 trillion)= 1/(105)(41012)= 1 in 4 x 1017, or one in 400 quadrillion. Miebakagh Fiberesima from Port Harcourt, Rivers State, NIGERIA. In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (410 14). You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? Thats a pretty straightforward calculation. Be True to YOU (there is no one else like you, if there was they would have been born and not you), Odds of Being Born Infographic by Designer Sofya Yampolsky. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. The chances of that turning into another meeting is about 1 in 10. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about . But on all probability it would. The analogy given by Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of YOU being born is here: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. In fact, He has been preparing a place for each of us in the kingdom, from before the creation of the world. However, as the astute who do exist will have observed, extremely improbable events do actually occur. Because the fact that your baby to be is a miracle is not just a religious ideaits science. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. enough to delve into higher mathematics discover there are many tripwires ahead of them. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? Its so unlikely, its almost impossible that youre here and taking a breath right now. A rational approach acknowledges that incredibly low probabilities is not the same as zero probability. On one try. Here's Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. It was always likely that a living cell would jump out of that primordial soup because the conditions for that to happen must have existed somewhere; and, probably, in several somewheres. Dr. Ali Binazir Has 10 Years + Experience As A Author. Here it should be realize it is a quest work. Multply the volume of New Jerusalem by 77. This alone should boost any lingering low self-esteem quite a bit. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. First, lets talk about the probability of your parents meeting. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? That means that in every step of your lineage, the exact the right sperm had to fertilize the exact right egg such that you would ultimately be created. it is impossible)., The astronomer Sir Fred Hoyle illustrated this with his Junkyard Tornado Theory: The chance that higher life forms might have emerged in this way is comparable to the chance that a tornado sweeping through a junkyard might assemble a Boeing 747 from the materials therein.. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. If you need to flag this entry as abusive. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. Lets say a life preservers hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside, which we will conveniently round to 0.5 square meters. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. Those who say Charles Darwins concept of evolution is hogwash gleefully seize on Borels Law to support their arguments. So, round-trip time works out to be about 14 yearsfor the fly to go to the moon and back. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. By that definition, Ive just proven that you are a miracle. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. Id gladly take those odds over trying to become a millionaire in any other country. Scripture says. This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. Lets say a third of those (4 trillion or 4 x 10, So, the chance of your particular chain of ancestors having remained unbroken for all that time would be 1 in 2, To account for all 150,000 generations, we raise 400 quadrillion to the 150,000, Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 10, This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. He looked at the odds of your parents meeting, given how many men and women there are on Earth and how many people of the opposite sex your mother and father would have met in their first 25 years of life. That's a pretty straightforward calculation. Are they gross exaggerations? Scott and Janice Huse, in their 1997 book The Collapse of Evolution, state that It is very significant to note that mathematicians generally consider that any event with a probability of one chance [in] 10^50 as having a zero probability (i.e. Thank you, Monsignor. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. He concluded that the chances of a turtle sticking its head out in the middle of the life preserver was about one in 700 trillion. Dr. Binazir calculated that the odds against each of us being born produced a number that makes the brain hurt. But now, as long as I'm musing about insane probabilities, I thought I'd delve a little into the odds of us even being born and what that took! Harvard alumnus and creativity consultant Dr. Ali Binazir tried to calculate the mind-boggling odds of one being born into existence on earth, and came up with interesting results. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. But lets make it longer. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. Now lets say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. Are You a Miracle? First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, "The answer is 500 squintillion," we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. The conclusion: The odds that you exist at all are basically zero., He illustrates it this way: It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. But, despite your being an extremely wonderful person, such a statement is wildly inaccurate. Its the probability of 2 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? Now things start getting interesting. June 24, 2022 . Every beginning Is only a sequel, after all, and the book of events is always open halfway through. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. Fortunately, just such a person is poised at the keyboard right now, so lets get started. So what's the probability of your being born? First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. They agree to within a factor of two! mitchell henry obituary; housing authority rome, ga; tom brady personality traits; can you drive from glacier national park to banff; why did they replace bertha in fred And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. Just go have some fucking fun! 530 Lovett Blvd, Houston, TX 77006 +1 (713) 942-9600; pricing strategy of samsung mobile phones. It is approximately 1 in 102,685,000 according to Dr. Ali Binazir, in a publication distributed by Huffington Post. This is also true of your grandparents parents, and their grandparents, and so on till the beginning of time. Gather your loved ones around and give props to your incredibly resilient and badass survivor ancestors, while you explode your gender revel confetti poppers. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." It makes me want to love better, to hug my baby more, to appreciate the miracles in my life, my family, my friends, my teachers, The animals, plants, precious food, the bugs and butterflies. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. If you assume there are 3 billion women and 3 billion men alive today, that means 3 x 10^14 eggs and 3.6 x 10^22 sperm are currently on the planet, for a total of 1.1 x 10^37 possible pairings. So far, so good. You may think You say that to everyone!. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. The Cycle of Hatred and Revenge Ends With Me A Homily for the 7th Sunday of the Year. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same numberfor example, 550,343,279,001., A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. decision by design review farnam street; dr ali binazir odds of being born; post mortem fingerprint equipment. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? Onward to freedom! That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe -- it's larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. In other words, as this infographic figures it, you are totally improbable. What Does Jesus Mean When He Says We Must Be Salted with Fire. Dr Ali Binazir is the author of the 'The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible', the highest-rated dating book on Amazon.co. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. So I got curious: are either of these numbers correct? Throw your exploding gender reveal football to festively burst with pink or blue powder. The chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is 1 in 2. They say that it is impossible for human life to exist without divine intervention. When making recommendations, I sometimes use affiliate links. That's 150,000 generations. This is true no matter how far back in your family's history you may wish to go. Are they gross exaggerations? To get the final answer, technically we need to multiply that by the 1045,000 , 2000 and 20,000 up there, but those numbers are so shrimpy in comparison that it almost doesnt matter. I am only publishing a small number of his musings, but you can read his full article here: What Are the Chances of You Being Born?. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. So he gave us an analogy that helps: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? Seriously, look around, look up to the sky, take this all in. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at Harvard, received a medical degree from the University of California, and studied philosophy at Cambridge University. Its not cheesy to be grateful to be alive, if you look at the facts, it should be normal. On top of that, to be born in a first-world country, the odds are even smaller. What impresses me is that at the moment our parents came together to form us, the Creator of the Universe stopped what He was doing to give, to each and every one of us, a soul unique to itself. Thats a ridiculously huge number. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. Because were about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. As a comparison, the number of atoms in the body of an average male (80kg, 175 lb) is 1027. (Just dont blow up your car trying to have the exhaust be blue smoke like I saw on that viral video, or set any forests on fire, lets keep it safe, kids.). Moreover, the second shot would not necessary run into the red. 2019 Ali Binazir, M.D., M.Phil, All Rights Reserved. Still, the racial wealth gap continues: Only 11 of them are black. The right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents; otherwise theyd be different people and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. By that definition, Ive just shown that you are a miracle, he wrote. dr ali binazir odds of being born. The odds of you being born as you are about 1 in 400 trillion, or more. I have over 2,000 posts here & my recovery related blogs are all under the RecovHer category at the top. Lets say its a fly that moves at about 4 mph. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. This content is accurate and true to the best of the authors knowledge and is not meant to substitute for formal and individualized advice from a qualified professional. But, the odds of every bridge deal are exactly the same. "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of this precious incarnation. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. Dr. Binazir puts it this way: "It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same number for example, 550,343,279,001. Dr. Ali Binazir. HubPages is a registered trademark of The Arena Platform, Inc. Other product and company names shown may be trademarks of their respective owners. To that, we could add the probability that the one sperm and the one egg met one another because she wasnt in the mood, but lets not split hairs here. Based on the data from the CDC . dr ali binazir odds of being born. Blog Home Uncategorized dr ali binazir odds of being born. Thats just the observable Universe; we havent the faintest idea what is beyond what we can detect with our instruments. You get the volume of planet Earth. Lets confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10 of the worlds population twenty years go (one tenth of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. First, your parents have to meet, then stay together long enough to reproduce, then conceive you at the exact right time so that the right egg drops (your mother has 100,000 in her lifetime), then the right sperm must make it in (your father produces 4 trillion during the years you could be born). Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years.
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