Follow him on Twitter: @adplacksports. Pick To Win: Joaquin Niemann ($8,500 DraftKings | $10,200 FanDuel). Zalatoris has finished worse than the tournament average in four of his last five tournaments, including one finish three strokes behind the leader. The path to the top of the leaderboard for him is very narrow. Online Gambling Golf PGA Picks This Week 2023: PGA Tour Expert Picks and Best Bets. Hes dropped strokes to the field driving and on approach in consecutive events for the first time since earning his full tour card, but the long irons have continued to be much better than the field, and while distance is always going to be lacking, his accuracy continues to be elite. Its a good number if nothing else. McClure's optimal PGA DFS strategy also includes rostering Max Homa at $9,700 on DraftKings and $11,600 on FanDuel. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Jon Rahm (+650, DraftKings) Can you stop taking the fun out of outright golf betting, Jon Rahm? RELATED: The sportsbook at TPC Scottsdale looks like it's going to be incredible, Most Likely To Disappoint: Tyrrell Hatton ($8,100 DraftKings | $9,900 FanDuel). Riviera is a much more friendly setup to Theegala than TPC Scottsdale. The 28-year-old has his eye on No. Here are the stats you should be paying attention to, High Upside: Max Homa ($8,100 DraftKings | $9,800 FanDuel). The last time Zalatoris competed in this event, he placed 29th. The weird extended weekend at Pebble Beach has concluded with Justin Rose as the champion not great for our PGA Tour expert picks and read on the tournament but now we move on to golfs party in the desert as we deliver WM Phoenix Open picks and best bets. Stephen Hennessey, Golf Digest dep. The PGA Championship will be held at Southern Hills Country Club in Tulsa, Oklahoma. There are many bookmakers that offer head-to-head matchup golf betting odds for every round of the tournament, as well as for the full event. We warned you guys after Scottie Schefflers win in Phoenix once this panel gets hot, we tend to run hot! Brandon Gdula, FanDuel/numberFire managing editor: Xander Schauffele (24-1, FanDuel) Bay Hill is a demanding test overall, and Schauffele has an all-around game thats as good as anyones. Since its opening in March 1993, the golf course at Links Hope Island has regularly featured among the leading courses in Australia. But given how well hes played in 2022 from the tee to the green, a putter that works for him might be able to change that. Cameron Young is +4000 to win the Arnold Palmer Invitational this weekend. The Field The Valspar Championship returns to its regular March date in 2022, a year after being played last season in May. For the sake of placing a wager, every online sportsbook makes use of geolocation technology to determine your current location. And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! He was T13 previously but now hes coming to the WM Phoenix Open where hes been nails and is a phenomenal overall fit with his polished all-around game. Homa was splendid in his win at TPC Potomac, battling wet and nasty conditions all week long. Jed Morgan scores LIV Golfs golden ticket as big-name stars plan Aussie escape. Hes historically one of the better short-game players on tour, gaining 0.71 strokes around-the-green and on the green over his past 100 rounds. Since the Phoenix Open, hes gained a total of 10.8 strokes on approach, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. Thats one of his better stretches since early 2020. Hes also earned five top-15 finishes in 2022, so hes comfortable with his name in contention. Follow him on Twitter: @gdula13. I love that he is now traveling to a course that will put less pressure on his putter, and I expect him to build upon his 13th-place finish last year. Poston (+8500). One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 is veteran Jason Day to finish in the top-20 of the final leaderboard at +125 odds (risk $100 to win $125). Hes been elite off the tee, gaining 17.49 strokes over his past six measured starts. Pick to Win WM Phoenix Open (0.5 Units): Xander Schauffele (+1400). He might have the most underrated short game on tour, and hes no stranger to playing well at Rivieraearning three top 10s in his past five trips. Hes separating himself from his peers on approach and with the putter, two skills that will be rewarded again this week. Both are ideal fits for this type of ball-striking course and Rahm has been a Top 10 machine here as the hometown guy. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "Be Right," where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy lineups. Even if you get one of those long shots, you may walk away with a tidy profit. To get you in the mood, you can place bets on things like who will win rookie of the year or who will be declared FedEx Cup champion before the season even starts. I always thought the wrap-around-a-lake par-5 sixth was Dick Wilson's version of Robert Trent Jones's decade-older 13th at The Dunes Club at Myrtle Beach. He won this event in 2016 and has four top-25s in his past six trips. Its worth noting that Day has played more rounds than both of those guys. Young finished T-13th last year at Bay Hill and T-29th last week at the Honda Classic. Due to the big field sizes and the four-day format, many longshots win or come close to victory on the tour. Bay Hill Club & Lodge will be. In his last appearance at this tournament, he ended the first round with a score that was in the top five best of the day. A significant restoration by Gil Hanse and his team a few years ago has restored fairway widths, so finding fairways wont be as essential. McIlroy has gained strokes putting at Bay Hill in four of his past five trips, which has translated to one win, four top-10s and no finish worse than T-13. Gdula: Sungjae Im (-108) over Tyrrell Hatton (FanDuel) Both have played well at Bay Hill, and the long-term tee-to-green data favors Im, so thats where Im going. For one thing, it's rather hilly, a rarity in Florida (although not in the Orlando market) and dotted with sinkhole ponds incorporated in the design in dramatic ways. Hes a big hitter with an all-around game. Hes been bleeding strokes back to the field the closer he gets to the green. Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) For the first time this year, Zalatoris looks like himself again. Sedgefield Country Club hosts the Wyndham Championship this week, where FedEx Cup playoff positions are on the line. At first glance, you might not consider Kitayama as a big boy with his 5-foot-7, 170-pound frame. Russell Henley, who had a three-stroke lead going into the final round of last years tournament before a six-man playoff, lost it in dramatic fashion in the final round. With only one start at the Wyndham Championship under his belt, the PGA Tours Iron Man has had a light season. . But its easy to see why we all like Z this week. His 27 FSWA nominations lead all writers this decade and are second-most all-time. follow. But the hole I like best at Bay Hill is the par-4 eighth, a lovely dogleg-right with a diagonal green perched above a small circular pond. There are not many places that I'll roster Zach Johnson but sitting at $6500 on DraftKings and knowing his track record at Bay Hill, it's hard to ignore. Rules Review: What is casual water and how do I play around it? WMPO: Scottie Scheffler. CJ Cup: Tyrrell Hatton. RELATED:PGA Championship 2022: The top 100 golfers competing at Southern Hills, ranked. Gehman: Rory McIlroy Remember, these elevated events have replaced majors as the biggest purses in golf. Hes won five times in the past 18 months and possesses all the skills to win at any course. The guy who misses the best is going to win. Lack: Cameron Young (+360, DraftKings) I have been surprised to see Cameron Young slide so quickly in the betting markets, despite nearly winning two majors last year and emerging as the best player in the world without a PGA Tour victory. This includes the United States, to who they believe will make the cut, or even who they believe will shoot an ace. Despite two disappointing finishes in Phoenix and Los Angeles, McIlroy was still brilliant from tee-to-greenlosing over eight strokes with the putter during that stretch. When it comes to attacking the Sedgefield CC course, the South Korean has the ideal skill set, as he frequently splits fairways and ignites his scoring clubs. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Rory McIlroy (+110) over Jon Rahm (PointsBet) Rorys strokes-gained numbers at Bay Hill are insanehes gained nearly 75 strokes to the field in his eight appearances here. He is statistically among the top 15 golfers in terms of strokes gained on, off, and tee-to-green gains (seventeenth-best) due to his high percentage of green-in-regulation hits (69.83 percent). With an emphasis on ball-striking this week, that could be important. All advice, including picks and predictions, is based on individual commentators opinions and not that of Minute Media or its related brands. The Wake Forest star remains one of the best drivers of the ball on long golf courses, as well as one of the best long iron players in the field. Hes never played API, but hes been especially potent on Bermudagrass in his short career. All eyes will be on the 2022 Wyndham Championship, which concludes the PGA Tour regular season this week. Lowry has a good chance, based on the PGA expert picks this week, to capitalize on his strong play with a victory. Zalatoris had a surprising missed cut last week at the AT&T Byron Nelson, but its not time to abandon him. With the U.S. Open awarded to nearby LA Country Club for 2023, it doesnt appear Riviera will get another Open (though it will host the 2028 Olympics). Andy Lack, RickRunGood.com and Inside Golf podcast: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) Zalatoris answered the lingering injury questions with a fourth-place finish at Riviera, where he gained 3.9 strokes off the tee, four strokes on approach, 2.4 strokes around the green and 2.4 strokes putting. Mayo: Tommy Fleetwood (+550, DraftKings) The irons arent back to elite levels, but he hasnt dropped strokes to the field in a PGA Tour event since the 2022 API, a tournament where he still finished T-20. Hes incredibly talented and seems to only be getting better. His advanced metrics show a well-rounded golfer who can compete in strong fields. WM Phoenix Open Hole-in-One odds (Will someone ace the 16th hole? The term futures bets refers to wagers placed on the outcome of the next season.