Flat Runs includes runs from both flat turf and all weather. Run, BetTurtle Horse Included are; Optional claimers, starter handicaps and allowance races (as well as stakes races) - as opposed to straight claimers (at similar price levels) where the horse can be lost via a claim. 1. fail in any one area, toss them out. All races are contests of speed. track take-out being anywhere from 16 to 25%, depending on the type of wager, you must stay If a horse is wearing Blinkers for the first time it may have worn other head gear previously. As a whole, horses that were claimed in their last race, performed as follows: Number: 16,671 Winners: 2,777 Win Rate: 16.7% $2 Return (ROI): $1.59 (-20.57%). Changers, Good Performers Last Stats, All Green WtD Minimum of 30 runs to qualify. 6. Maybe someone has already done some work in that area. Race Information Heres an example of how a class drop in claiming races works. The table below includes all the double-digit winners from straight claiming races of 5 to 9 furlongs at the tracks issued by Horse Racing Gold for the week of June, 9th through June, 13th. Basic will show standard stats figures such as wins, runs, strike rate, A/E and profit. been proven, year after year that favorites lose 67% of the time. Zozos will be their first Kentucky Derby entry after . Graduates have just one win on their past performances and there is usually not much data to evaluate. Favourite Stats, Jockey All Weather You can make money from EZ Horse Betting with all sorts of angles. Today, the class drop may be enough to help the horse achieve a win. Heres an example. must be 5/8 or more. Horses running for the same or higher tag as last time (when they were claimed) that are running for a lesser purse today outperform recent claims as a whole. 4. Lst Last ran figure from the flat turf or all weather only. Read reviews by other subscribers or leave your own review on. Race Level View the daily list of Horse Racing Grade Droppers. Notice that the win rate stayed about the same, but the $2 net return actually decreased. Class droppers won 11 of those, or 61% of them. Minimum of 10 runs to qualify. HORSE ODDS POS CHANGE STATS TRAINER JOCKEY OR FM SP F A C V M PICK; 7 Feb 2023: MARKET RASEN: 1:45: 2: CEDAR ROW 100: This is why one can get the interesting situation of a horse running in Class C race and is dropping is class from the Class D race last week. There are so many possible factors for consideration when handicapping a horse race and such a multitude of opinions on how to best handicap the races key factors are often lost in the haze of information overload. You can devise your own angles to bet class at your favorite online racebook. either of its last two races is a vulnerable favorite. With this simplified class rating system you will now clearly understand if a move up or drop in class for a horse in todays race is a big jump and how that compares to other horses in the field allowing you to you quickly and easily determine if the horse is a contender at todays race class level. Thoroughbreds are born to run but they do not all possess the same talent level. Once we find such a favorite, this is the type of race we The game revolves around money in every regard. Just like other athletes, these horses have different skill levels. How often does the 3rd fav win over all races flat and national hunt. Toss it. Id like to comment on the person with the insight on the 2cd drop down ANGLE. Past Class can be found in the race header in column 13 titled Past Class. For Latest News Visit Our Facebook . However, also consider this: If that horse was not good enough in a graded stakes, and the trainer took a class drop, there is a reason for it. Age Stats, Jockey Flat Musselburgh 13:50. . Class droppers won 11 of those, or 61% of them. To find out, I consulted my racing database and heres what I found. Are you loking for horse handicapping? Sire must have had 10 wins on AW to be included. First - this horse handicapping article will not go into depth on the theory of "class" and what it is, or how to define it. Favourite Stats, BetTurtle Jockey 2nd race off a Layoff the wagering regulations in your jurisdiction as they vary from state to state, province to province and 1 in Kentucky Derby Top 10. W-R figures obtained from flat turf and all weather runs. FCP% Here are all the articles related to horse racing stats for the UK and Irish races. Now, the party`s classification was dropped but the same people turned up. Jump If they plan two races of two similar classes both for horses raced 70-120, say, and in one race horses with the Official Rating of 70 turn up and in the other only horses rated 120 start, would it be fair to say that these two races are of the same class? For instance, a Grade I Stakes race for older males is always a 210, a $32,000 claimer for older fillies and mares is always 140. If a horse is dramatically dropping in class Now of course, there are almost always more than one class dropper in a race, so this factor wont just give you the winner, but it will sure help you to focus on the most likely contenders in these claiming type races. Stats, Longest I certainly applaud that kind of research and do some of it myself. Sometimes trainers will try to steal a race by running a horse for a claiming tag that is way lower than what the horse is actually worth. Stats, One Ride Especially if it is a claimer race because the trainer risks losing the horse in a claim. Sample Ratings 5. horse comes from the clouds, toss out. Race / Meeting FilterYou can filter this page to show the stats for the whole day, turf or all weather meetings, a specific meeting or race time. 8. ; Click the Horse filter button. Its perfectly logical to state that a horse dropping in class may have an advantage over its competitors who are not. Gem Song View stats tables for today's horse racing meetings at Lingfield and Newcastle. The data in the table is a powerful resource which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. Fearless Knight: Sunshine Coast Race 4: $1,970,000: 6,567%: 1. the influx of information available to the average player today. 7. In this instance an 'x' is listed next to the item worn. Take, for example, Bella Campari, who was haltered for $5,000 in a race featuring a $28,000 purse on Oct. 9, 2016, and was running for a $7,500 tag and $20,000 purse three weeks later. ITS ALSO GOOD IF YOU GET TYPE OF HORSE TO BEAT THE FAVORITE OR EXACTA BOX IT WITH THE FAVORITE SOMETIMES TO GET YOUR R.O.I UP. Legitimate favorites win races Read more about Sample Size and Confidence Figures. Table ranked by earnings. That was 18 races at 4 tracks. You would not expect a high school team to perform well against a group of NFL veterans. I'm going to look at class (and class drops) in claiming races in the simplest way possible. Click here to visit Cafe Casino! Top 10 rider or a Top 10 trainer and you have a probable favorite in the race, especially if it is Download Todays Racing Digests Race Class Level Chart. This hidden class drop was obviously missed by the bettors, as Bella Campari was sent to post at odds of 9-1 and won easily! Horse Handicapping Articles (click to view/read) Making a Betting Line Success And Luck Turn Time - the hidden fraction Track Specific Spot Plays Figures from flat turf and all weather. I set up British Racecourses with the desire to share my passion for racing with other like-minded people. coming off a layoff. type of race generally puts an emphasis on late speed in a race. website is for entertainment purposes only. This is extremely good handicapping information to have at So, from this we can go to another `A` event and then say whether this particular event was better, poorer or the same as another `A` event. Stats, Jockey National Hunt All information provided by this Click here to visit Bovada! today and looks too good to be true, it probably is. We at UK Horse Racing think not. The two races are of completely different classes. Class Changers. Trainer, Trainer All Weather Today : Tomorrow: DATE COURSE TIME NO. There are many tables on this page but each of them are useful for analysing today's races from a stats point of view. Think for just a second about how human athletes compete in sports. this level. e.g.To find the best Trainer and Jockey combination today click All MeetingsIf there are meetings on turf and all weather and you want to find the best combination on turf click Turf MeetingsIf you want to find the best combination at a specific meeting then click the name of the RacecourseIf you want to find the best combination in a specific race click the Race Time. When a horse takes a class drop this means it is taking a step down where competition is concerned. Changers, Distance View stats for trainer and jockey combinations, hot and cold trainers, horses changing in class and much more. 50% free bets up to $250 5% cash back. Subscribers can visit the Races-Search Runners page or one of the BetTurtle race cards. This applies to a horse that hasnt won in its last 10 races. Period. Summary Overview, Malcolm's Method individual. FlatStats subscribers can save the settings so that the same parameters are used each time the page page is viewed. If the trainer doesn't have enough confidence in the horse to keep trying at the higher level races pay . With the The data in the table is a powerful resource which demonstrates how much a horse is rising or dropping in class from its last race. Runners, One Runner Stats, Longest A similar race at Turf Paradise is rated at 130. is going to take place? "What do you guys and gals do when you see this?" Several things would give me pause, starting with the steep drop in class (and purse value) and ending with Tribal Jewels eroding speed rations and subpar recent works, particularly his latest. Thats an amazing statistic with With this simplified class rating system you will now clearly understand if a move up or drop in class for a horse in today's race is a big jump and how that compares to other horses in the field allowing you to you quickly and easily determine if the horse is a contender at today's race class level. Rating This website assumes no responsibility for the actions by and makes no Regr g/d But actually its the second attempt at the same class after previously dropping. Today's We don't use the BHB classifications as this is nothing but a wish on behalf of the BHB on they would want the line-up of the race to be. Never take a short price on an class today should be tossed out. Horses Dropped in Class Today Here is the full list of racehorses' who are running today and have been Dropped in Class. Trainer, Course Stats By The Digests RCL is an initialism for Race Competition Level, which is simply a number assigned to a certain type of race that represents its position relative to other races. Please confirm The higher the number, the stronger the race. Theres problems with this horse and we want to get rid of it (even so often while also trying to grab one last purse). Its a great question. Like the advantage a big league baseball team would have over a double-A league team. The statistics on class-droppers are surprising, and show just how important this factor can be . As the Founder of British Racecourses, I have a life-long passion for horse racing and have loved the sport as long as I can remember. 35 of them were won by class droppers (by the simple definition given earlier) = 54.7% 18 were won by horses staying at the same class level = 28.1% Only 7 were won by horses rising in class = 10.9% Jockey, Jockey All Weather A horse that can only run a half-mile in :48 seconds is unlikely to ever beat a horse that can run the same distance in :44 seconds. A horse making it's first ever race course debut will have Flat Runs of 0. [[DOESNT SAY WHAT TO DO ON DISTANCE SWITCHES IN THOSE RACES? Allowing for the draw bias, visualise the running of the race. Why Should You Look at Horses Who are Dropped in Class. TO DAVE HENRYAND ALL If a horse is wearing Blinkers for the second time it may have worn other head gear previously. In horse racing these skill levels are known as class. Runs I hope, though, that the results will re-enforce in your mind one of the over-riding facts of handicapping and betting horse races: Horses dropping in class win far more than they should. The term is defined as: Finding that vulnerable (Three-year-old and two-year-old races earn higher RCLs as the year progresses, to reflect both the maturation process and the increase in number of horses racing. Handicappers, Well I GOT A SYSTEM LONG AGO THAT WAS CALLED THE DROP DOWN COVER UPSYSTEM. m/f Only horses who have earned win or place prize money on this surface included. ALSO I TEND ELIMINATE A HORSE WHO QUIT EVERY RACE IN THE FORM PLUS A VERY BAD POST OUTSIDE. HCP% So, as I said, I'm not going to try and solve this class-handicapping puzzle. If you follow the punters which read the classification of the event as being the indication of class then it has dropped in class. The following lists the rules (or criteria) to which the horse must adhere. Login; Register; Help; HOME RACES Today's . Figures from flat turf and all weather. Stats, All Green Needless to say, there is not a consensus on the subject. If they are good players, perhaps they make it to a college team. Raw Adj Kids begin to get serious about the game in high school. Nobody gives anything away at the racetrack. They have had sufficient time to prove their ability. 33% of the time. Winners: 1,815. But, like I said, I dont have any statistical evidence that its worthwhile. I USE THE MOST MONEY WON [LIFETIME] AS MY BET ON TOP IF MORE THAN ONE CONTENDER OF THIS TYPE. . Wins at the course (all weather track). ), A Grade I race for older males has an RCL of 210, with Grade II older males receiving a 205. Thats the way trainer Brian Lynch is , By Richard Rosenblatt Hes a Hall of Famer, and one of the most well-respected trainers in the business ever. [email protected], Introduction Only claiming, optional claiming, and maiden claining races considered withthe stipulation that maiden claiming races with more than 1 first-time-starter, or1 first time starter with final odds or morning line odds of 4-1 or lower will be passed. Minimum of 5 runs to qualify. Join now for as little as 94p a day with a three month subscription, or try us for a week for just a tenner. If you are really struggling with a class, dropping . proposition. Analysing huge priced winners tipped on FlatStats, Mark Johston out of form going into Glorious Goodwood, Draw Bias for the major Group 1 races at Epsom, Racing Data Charts - Avg SP of Group Favourites, Trainer, Owner, Sire, Jockey Stats for York Racecourse, Horse Racing Stats for 4th Mar 2023 - All Meetings. Todays Racing Digest race sheets makes handicapping class easy by using a simple number system assigned to a certain type of race that represents its position relative to other races. Back to racing; consider the Derby the in 2004. I do not see this in the daily stats info, i have used this site for my personal weekly 25-1000 place bet challenges and i have made a lot of money using this site so far..wish i saw this site last year :). Cards, Search Very informative from all of you folks, but I wouldnt expect much less from the people Gary keeps company with. Nice article. The Accuracy Below areraces fromthis past Sunday, July 22. Our table shows all the horses who have dropped in class and are racing today, check them out for yourself. If today's race is on turf then only the jockey and trainer combination turf stats are shown. 8 Tomorrow's longest travellers of horses and trainers are updated on a daily basis as the best horse racing tipsters 2023 use this data as part of their analysis. NEWS.. If they plan two races of two similar classes both for horses raced 70-120, say, and in one race horses with the Official Rating of 70 turn up and in the other only horses rated 120 start, would it be fair to say that these two races are of the same class? Class drops are just one approach. Horses rarely win from the back of the pack. If you have a horse who drops, you'll know what I'm talking about! Minimum of 5 runs to qualify. I want find records of historical winning SP to class of of race rating - Flat & NH do you have these ? The negative drop down angle seems to have lost its bite in recent years.perhaps as a result of the over-inflated purses that we see in today's casino-assisted version of this game. Your email address will not be published. Lets say a horse achieved its only win in a Maiden Claiming Race for $20,000. Easy to grasp the concept, but so obvious that it is often overlooked, or under-valued in relation to other more esoteric factors to be considered in a race. However, if its first race back has been stressful (dueled with Runners, Available Data either of its last two races is a vulnerable favorite. Stats, Jockey National Hunt That was declared to be a poorer Derby than of recent years but it was still a Class A declared event. Those stats are eye-popping. If the Your email address will not be published. Data, 90 Day Tipping Online Sports Betting Goes Live in Louisiana, Top Gifts for Horse Racing Fans & Bettors, Ultimate tips for online horse race betting, nice bonus, and more when you sign up today, Twin Spires Is The Official Betting Partner Of The Breeders Cup, Death of Jockey Megan Taylor at Ashburton Raceway. Jockey, Horse Stats By Race race. Say you're looking at a $30K open claiming race: It might include a last-out maiden special winner, or a runner from an optional claimer, a restricted claimer, a starter handicap, an allowance race - or, God forbid, all of the above! You should look out for a horse who has been dropped in class as it means that they will invariably be contesting against weaker horses. You can view stats such as trainer and jockey combinations, changes in trainer, penalty carriers, quick returners, class changers and much more. strictly prohibited. Bovada is our favorite pick for USA Bettors! I consider races where a horse is being protected to usually contain a "classier" field than races where they are not protected. The horse dropping in class has long been one of horse racings most reliable betting angles. Code, Trainer Horse We would say that it was lower. It doesnt take a Pittsburgh Phil to figure out that Tribal Jewel was the best horse in this race, but is he the best horse now on Jan. 6? a) Claimers, non-winners of two lifetime. Eclipse Sportswire. and is ready to compete. Lets take American football as an example. The best of the best wind up in the National Football League. Value Not taking odds and favoritism into account as a quick over-all stat class droppers win almost three times as many races as class risers! Change in class is based on the old race letter classification where there are 11 classes. can undertake with the better-priced horses, knowing that the favorite is going to lose (in these Click here to visit Ignition Casino! No Speed Trainer, Trainer All Weather If EZ Horse Betting is your preferred approach, there are a few ways you can approach handicapping class. To easily determine if a horse has ever been competitive at todays current class level the Digest gives you the highest class level each horse has been proven effective (2-year -old races are not considered). Class drops are most frequently noted in claiming races. Some of the tables are basic count stats, such as showing horses with the most Course Wins, whilst some are more complex such as the Sires Turf to All Weather A/E ratio. So, comes the night of the party and there`s us and, again, the only two which turn up are Michelle and Catherine. NOT LENGTHS UNLESS NEAR 6 1/4L "Horses dropping by 30% or more win 378% of their rightful share of races!". Ratings, Course Stats By A horse with this type of "form" should clearly be stepped up in class, or at an absolute minimum, kept at the same level. Favourite Stats, Trainer National Hunt All Rights Reserved. Basic subscribers have access to the 80:20 rule pointers reports.. WinF By developing products like BetTurtle, our goal is to make horse racing more rewarding for our customers. Trainer Jones has been running his horse in $15,000 claiming races. Each stat is displayed in a table and shows the name, profit, or ROI% of the stat. First, we have to decide who the public will make the favorite in a given race. Make a note of horses that are dropping in class, who ran a speed rating faster than class in their last race and those that are well handicapped. Joanne & Larry Ross 6100 Aumsville Hwy SE Salem, OR 97317 Home: 503-585-3100 Cell: 503-580-6827 Horse Handicapping: Finding and Betting Class Drops. speed where it can lay close to the pace (within three lengths at the first call). Stats for combination runs. In other words, at some tracks - moving around in a group of class levels can be relatively easy while at other tracks jumping up from one of these same levels to the next higher might be very tough. country to country. All major credit cards are accepted & Bitcoin. JOCKEY CHANGE DROPPING MUST BE A SUPERIOR JOCK OR BUG BOY WITH WEIGHT OFF.. LITTLE REGARDED IS WHEN BARN/JOCK MAKE CHOICE OF THIS HORSE I. E. RATHER THAN OTHER HIDES JOCK HAS BEEN ON IN LAST THREE OR FOUR RACES JOCK MAY HAVE BEEN RIDING THREE OTHER HORSES IN THIS RACE BUT HAS MADE CHOICE OF TODAYS MOUNT WATCH THESE AND WATCH YOUR PROFITS GROW!!!! Today : Tomorrow: DATE COURSE TIME NO. If he's standing in his stall or pasture with a lowered head, he's probably either resting or asleep; call his name and make your approach obvious so you don't startle him. This is a class drop. Lucky Jim is wearing Blinkers for the second time but has previously worn different headgear. class drop is important lets not forget the age of the horse also i feel classdrop in horse 5yrs and under in males and gelding come pair to females is important just notice it males in c/d seem to put there heart into it notice 5yr old gelding nest time but as we all know what looks solid couse of action today dies tomorrow also time off between c/d is important to me unless horse is w.o. The search page will return all matches from our racing database (trainers, jockeys, sires), postings in our forum, and racing articles in our blog, Enter your FlatStats Subscriber details in order to access the site. One who wins 8% of their starts or less within the last year defines a losing trainer. Fame, Betting What is total aggregate distances at Lingfield today? The same goes for a dirt horse trying the grass for the first time and viceversa. You can use these advanced figures to determine if a stat has a sufficient sample and is reliable. Table ranked by number of days since last win. Days Whether it be from DSLD/ESPA or injury, these techniques presented will make your horse more comfortable and happy. A horse is said to be moving up in class (or jumping) when it moves from one set of race conditions to another, such as from maiden special to allowance, or from a claiming race for $25,000 to one for $35,000. The same principle holds true in horse racing. Favourite Stats, Jockey National Hunt 100.00%. Stats for combination runs. If the meeting or race is all weather then these horses are having their first run on all weather. When a horse is entered in a specific claiming race for a certain price, the owner and trainer are stating what they believe the horse is worth. 2. Connections suddenly willing to acknowledge their horse is worth less money than it was last time it raced are giving a signal that, in general,says one of two things; Were now seriously after the purse winnings in todays race, or. The best way to bet a drop in class is to find horses that were 1st, 2nd, or 3rd in their most recent race at a higher level. It has managed to finish second and third a number of times but cannot seem to manage a win. All handicappers that have been in the game for more than a few months know of the class-drop factor. Stl Flat Runs will then indicate how many runs they had on flat turf. Results: There were 64 double-digit winners during this one week's span at these tracks. Chaotic Races Check our Bovada racebook review, Twinspires review or even our Betamerica review. Favourite Stats, Trainer All Weather c) Raced within 30 days and two works within 14 days This website does not endorse or encourage illegal gambling. The line maker, employed by the track, is a savvy . out of that horse and cant recover in 30 days or less. We support responsible gambling, so in case you require information about gambling addiction or need support please use the link BeGambleAware. The question will invariably be posed, how do you evaluate a graduate in terms of class. given date. Favourite Stats, Trainer National Hunt the races where the favorite is going to get beat. There are literally thousands of horses that race each day in America and abroad. Because we look at the participants and not the labelling. I prefer AW onlyis there a subscription for this. Welcomes global players. Being able to correctly assess a horses class will help you determine if it has been entered in a race where it can be competitive. I'll make a few generalized assumptions before showing you some recent figures . d) First condition allowance races where all the horses have showed they can not win at Interestingly, Bella was claimed in this race as well and, on Nov. 15, 2016, competed in a $10,000 claiming affair for a $30,000 purse. The Digest does this by designating a number, anywhere from 75 to 210, to each race. It just goes to show that there are Wt Note that 3 of the races were won by horses staying at the same level as previous race, so then - only 4 races were won by horses going up in class - that's just 22 %. Many punters like to follow and bet on horses who have been dropped in class. (fts = first time starter / SH = starter handicap / Oc = optional claimer / Alw = allowance). So, would you say that that race had the same class or lower than other years? Take a peek at the digits on horses that finished in the money (third or better) and were claimed in their last race: Number: 10,350 Winners: 1,815 Win Rate: 17.5% $2 Return (ROI): $1.51 (-24.53%). Runners, Shrewd Trainer while false favorites do not. I've presented this short research only to make a generalized point: Alternatively, you can read the Bovada Racebook review first. Take a peek at the digits on horses that finished in the money (third or better) and were claimed in their last race: Number: 10,350. You can do this by clicking on the sires name on the racecard and looking at his A/E stat at Southwell. Handicapped, Class By assigning a numerical value to a race it allows the you to easily discern the quality of one class of horses from another. Stats, Tipping Hall of And look at what happens when those same horses compete for a purse less than half of what it was in their last race: Number: 122 Winners: 28 Win Rate: 23.0% $2 Return (ROI): $1.15 (-42.25%). Differential Columns Stats, Trainer National Hunt Results. You can determine the relationship between any class levels using the RCL; its that easy. 4-1 TO 5-1. A horse is moving down in class (or dropping) in reverse circumstances, such as allowance to claiming or graded to restricted stakes. ?--or is this available in november? The exception to this rule is turf routes. This Handicappers, Well e) Low-priced claiming levels ($5000 or less) with restrictions such as non-winners of a The term "classy" is most often applied to horses who run winning races in the higher purse levels at the track, or circuit where they compete - but that doesn't really help. Ideally you should always use the strong, or at the very least the medium setting but setting these filters will greatly reduce the stats that are displayed on the page. The fastest athlete wins. The reality of the situation though is often puzzling. not has good and never will be compared to you guys. No In claiming races, it's quite simple to determine if a horse is going up or down in class. Can help identify horses that may improve. Handicapping class levels in horse racing can be difficult for many horse players. Suspicious Drop in Class today. Table ranked by earnings per start. Why not Subscribe Now and view the full stats for today? Code, Trainer Horse Second Time Head Gear applies to the exact item being worn today. Lucky Jim is wearing Blinkers for the first time but has previously worn different headgear.